ARIMA

When the law changes: The impact of a change in criminal justice policy on a long-term hot spot policing program

This study tested three competing hypothesis to explain a sudden increase of street robberies in Montevideo: 1) the failure of a hot spot policing program to maintain crime decreases; 2) improved crime recording by police patrols using tablet computers; and 3) the change from an inquisitorial to an adversarial criminal justice process. Using an interrupted time series approach with ARIMA errors, we found that the new criminal justice procedure was the most likely explanation for robbery increases.

Crime and COVID-19: Effect of changes in routine activities in Mexico City

This peer-reviewed study showed that the incidence of most crime types in Mexico City decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, it also showed that some of the decreases were associated with the reduction of crime opportunities related to the disruption of routine activities.

Crime and COVID-19: Effect of changes in routine activities in Mexico City

This study showed that the incidence of most crime types in Mexico City decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, it also showed that some of the decreases were associated with the reduction of crime opportunities related to the disruption of routine activities.

Register Now: COVID-19 and Crime Research Seminar

Register for a research seminar showcasing recent work on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on crime and policing. I will be presenting a talk on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on crime in Mexico City.

Crime and COVID-19: Effect of changes in routine activities in Mexico City

This study showed that the incidence of most crime types in Mexico City decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, it also showed that some of the decreases were associated with the reduction of crime opportunities related to the disruption of routine activities.